Two Reasons Why KU is in Good Shape After Nevada

And Special PFF Grades for the Jayhawks

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In this Hearings newsletter:

  1. Why KU was better than it looked Saturday

  2. PFF Team and Player Grades for KU

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EVERYTHING IN THIS NEWSLETTER IS BASED UPON WHAT I AM HEARING FROM PEOPLE I TRUST. PLEASE DO NOT MISTAKE THIS FOR FACT OR FOR ACTUAL JOURNALISM, WHICH HAS VERIFICATION STANDARDS THAT I HAVE NOT ADHERED TO. I DO NOT GUARANTEE THE ACCURACY OF THE CONTENT.

Why KU was Better Than It Looked vs. Nevada

As I mentioned in the last newsletter, Ive been on vacation for a wedding. So, waking up in Europe Sunday morning to find KU football running out the clock in a one-possession game was confusing and fairly concerning. Then I checked my texts and essentially thought

Wait... Nevada fumbled FIVE times?! And KU didnt recover one of them?! And then still won?! ON THE ROAD?!

Im sure it didnt feel this way during the game, but watching it on replay really wasnt so bad. Ultimately, KU just survived its first trap game of the Lance Leipold era. Here are two reasons why the Jayhawks played much better than they looked vs. Nevada.

#1: Success Rate

Theres an advanced college football metric called Success Rate. It measures a teams efficiency on each play considering the context of down and distance. Turns out, the Jayhawks were pretty damn successful against Nevada.

According to college football stat man Parker Flemming, KU ranked sixth in the country when comparing a teams success rate to their opponent. In other words, KU had a lot of successful plays and Nevada had a lot of unsuccessful plays.

#2: Vegas Really Likes Kansas vs. BYU

The betting line is even more proof the Jayhawks were better than they looked vs. Nevada. Kansas opened as an 8.5-point favorite over BYU after its win against Arkansas.

The opening number was surprising, but it keeps moving in KUs favor. The Jayhawks are now 9.5-point favorites Saturday, suggesting pro money has been placed on the Jayhawks.

Popular sports betting website Action Network has a paywalled Pro Report, signaling both pro money and large bets have been placed on KU.

While this technically doesnt mean much (pros still lose nearly half the time), its still a good sign for the Jayhawks. And its definitely another indication that KU was just a bit unlucky vs. Nevada.

WERE FINE.

Special Could Be Wrong Episode Coming Tuesday 儭

Nick and I will be joined by former KU beat writer and my good friend Tully Corcoran in a special episode dropping Tuesday. Well be talking about the Mark Mangino era and similarities to what were seeing now with KU, the Morris Twins, our favorite KU What Ifs, and much more about the state of the Jayhawks.

You can listen (or watch) via:

PFF Grades: KU vs. Nevada

Pro Football Focus (PFF) is the premiere football grading tool for player and team performance. I purchased a subscription and normally keep this VIP only, but will be sharing it with everyone this week because Im on vacation (and have a bit less to offer). If you enjoy the content and want to support KUHearings, please consider upgrading!

PFF Grading Scale

Overall KU Team Grades

  • Team Grade: 89.5 overall, or good.

  • Offense: 83.9 overall, or good.

  • Pass Offense: 91.2 overall, or elite

  • Pass Blocking: 83.6 overall, or good.

  • Run Blocking: 68.4overall, or average.

  • Defense: 84.7 overall, or good.

  • Pass Rush: 67.4 overall, or or average.

  • Pass Coverage: 85 overall, or good."

  • Tackling. 58.1 overall, or below average. This was the worst team grade.

The Offensive Players:

The Defensive Players:

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